DAATAN
DAATAN - Forecast Tracking
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Tags
100%
1
AI: 45%
politics
Elections
Benjamin Netanyahu will win the 2026 Israeli general election and be appointed Prime Minister.
1
commitments
Yana Elisonian
AI: 35%
Geopolitics
US Politics
President Trump will order the deployment of US ground troops to Iran by December 31, 2026.
K
komapc
A
100%
4
AI: 65%
Economy
Geopolitics
The Russian economy will experience a larger budget deficit as a percentage of GDP in 2026 compared to 2025, as reported by March 31, 2027.
4
commitments
A
andrey1bar
A
100%
3
AI: 65%
Sports
Chess
D. Gukesh will lose his World Chess Champion title in his next title defense match by December 31, 2026.
3
commitments
K
komapc
A
0%
2
AI: 50%
Geopolitics
US Politics
The United States will formally withdraw its membership from the United Nations by December 31, 2026.
2
commitments
K
komapc
A
AI: 5%
Geopolitics
US Politics
The United States will formally withdraw from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) by December 31, 2026.
K
komapc
A
100%
1
AI: 56%
Sports
NBA
Portland will win at least one game against San Antonio in their playoff series by May 15, 2026.
1
commitments
A
andrey1bar
A
100%
3
AI: 65%
Geopolitics
Conflict
Between April 15, 2026, and April 22, 2026, no international commercial passenger flights to or from Israel will be canceled specifically due to the conflict with Iran.
3
commitments
K
komapc
A
0%
3
AI: 49%
Geopolitics
Conflict
The active phase of the war involving Iran will not resume before June 1, 2026.
3
commitments
K
komapc
A
100%
2
AI: 85%
politics
Europe
Peter Magyar will officially assume the role of Prime Minister of Hungary by December 31, 2026.
2
commitments
A
andrey1bar
A
100%
2
AI: 60%
politics
Elections
Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026.
2
commitments
K
komapc
A
100%
1
AI: 15%
Israel
politics
A publicly reported congress or conference held in Israel will have exactly 50 participants by December 31, 2026.
1
commitments
K
komapc
A
80%
2
AI: 70%
Geopolitics
Conflict
The conflict between Iran and its adversaries (e.g., US, Israel) will resume by April 23, 2026.
2
commitments
A
andrey1bar
A
0%
1
AI: 50%
Technology
Language
Esperanto Wikipedia will have more than 400,000 articles by December 31, 2026.
1
commitments
K
komapc
A
36%
2
AI: 65%
politics
Geopolitics
Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.
2
commitments
RH
Roman Halfin
0%
1
AI: 20%
Chess
Sports
Javokhir Sindarov will reach a FIDE standard rating of 2800 by December 31, 2026.
1
commitments
K
komapc
A
100%
3
AI: 90%
Geopolitics
Conflict
At least one additional U.S. military aircraft will crash in the ongoing conflict involving Iran by December 31, 2026.
3
commitments
K
komapc
A
41%
4
AI: 70%
Urban Development
Israel
The new central bus station in Tel Aviv will be demolished by December 31, 2030.
Personal
4
commitments
Maria Deshpet
0%
1
AI: 45%
Economy
Energy
The price of Brent crude oil will reach or exceed $200 per barrel before December 31, 2026.
1
commitments
K
komapc
A
100%
1
AI
Technology
By December 31, 2027, at least 20% of global programmer jobs will have been replaced by AI.
Personal
1
commitments
Ilya Levin
